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Udinese vs. Juventus Preview


The Serie A continues this week! The games will be played behind closed doors because of the COVID-19 pandemic and we will have an exciting contest on Thursday when Udinese hosts Juventus.


Udinese lost 2-1 on the road against Napoli last Sunday while Juventus beat Lazio at home 2-1 on Monday. Juventus leads the Serie A standings with 80 points in 34 games while Udinese is in 16th place with 36 points in 34 games.


Let's take a closer look at where the value is in this matchup.


Betting Odds By Realbookies


Team to Win (Regular Time)


Udinese: +452

Juventus: -157

Draw: +312




Udinese: +1 (-122)

Juventus: -1 (+110)




Over 2¾ (-110)

Under 2¾ (-101)


Key Points to Consider


Last 6:


Udinese, coming off a 2-1 road loss against Napoli, have two wins, two draws and two losses in their last six overall. Juventus, coming off a 2-1 home win against Lazio, have three wins, three draws and one loss in their last six overall.


Momentum: Juventus has been on an upward trend -- with no losses in their last three games in the Serie A.


Head-to-Head: These two teams last matched up in Serie A action on December 15, 2019 and Juventus won 3-1.


Projected Leaders


Simulations I have run with Gameadvisers project Cristiano Ronaldo, Gonzalo Higuaín and Kevin Lasagna as the players most likely to score (two of these three players are from Juventus).


There is a 23.4 percent chance of a draw. In simulations where the game is not a draw, Juventus, at 63.2 percent, are heavy favorites to beat Udinese, who have just a 13.5 percent chance to win at home.


The leading scorer for Juventus is Cristiano Ronaldo with a 64 percent chance of getting one or more goals. When he has at least one goal, Juventus has a 79 percent chance to win.


I have to take Juventus at this price, with the Serie A title pretty much secured and their star Cristiano Ronaldo playing at a high level, after just becoming the first player ever to score over 50 goals in the Premier League, La Liga and Serie A.


Soccer Pick: Juventus: -1 (+110)

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