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Udinese vs. Juventus Preview
The Serie A continues this week! The games
will be played behind closed doors because of the COVID-19 pandemic and we will
have an exciting contest on Thursday when Udinese hosts Juventus.
Udinese lost 2-1 on the road against Napoli
last Sunday while Juventus beat Lazio at home 2-1 on Monday. Juventus leads
the Serie A standings with 80 points in 34 games while Udinese is in 16th place
with 36 points in 34 games.
Let's take a closer look at where the value is
in this matchup.
Udinese, coming off a 2-1 road loss against
Napoli, have two wins, two draws and two losses in their last six overall. Juventus, coming off a 2-1 home win against Lazio, have three wins,
three draws and one loss in their last six overall.
Momentum: Juventus
has been on an upward trend -- with no losses in their last three games in the
Serie A.
Head-to-Head:
These two teams last matched up in Serie A action on December 15, 2019 and
Juventus won 3-1.
Projected Leaders
Simulations I have run with Gameadvisers
project Cristiano Ronaldo, Gonzalo Higuaín and Kevin Lasagna as the players
most likely to score (two of these three players are from Juventus).
There is a 23.4 percent chance of a draw. In
simulations where the game is not a draw, Juventus, at 63.2 percent, are
heavy favorites to beat Udinese, who have just a 13.5 percent chance to win at
home.
The leading scorer for Juventus is Cristiano
Ronaldo with a 64 percent chance of getting one or more goals. When he has at
least one goal, Juventus has a 79 percent chance to win.
I have to take Juventus at this price, with
the Serie A title pretty much secured and their star Cristiano Ronaldo playing
at a high level, after just becoming the first player ever to score over 50
goals in the Premier League, La Liga and Serie A.
Soccer Pick:
Juventus: -1 (+110)
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