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NBA Free Pick | Trail Blazers at Celtics

 

Portland is working its way out of a slump that saw the Trail Blazers lose seven of eight games. The Blazers did win two in a row prior to a Friday night matchup with the Nets.

They will continue their East Coast trip with a game in Boston on Sunday night. Portland is currently seventh in the Western Conference and would love nothing more than to overtake Dallas for sixth and avoid the NBA play-in tournament.

To do so, the Trail Blazers will have to do something they are very good at - start quickly.

Game: Portland Trail Blazers (34-28, 31-31 ATS) at Boston Celtics (33-30, 31-32 ATS)

When: 7:30 PM ET, Sunday, May 2, 2021

Where: TD Garden, Boston, Massachusetts

Current Line: OFF†††† Total: OFF

TV Coverage: NBATV

Getting Back on Track

Portland won its last two games over Memphis and Indiana after losing five straight. The Trail Blazers are now one game behind Dallas in the race for sixth place in the West. A look at the NBA basketball odds will show a tight race.

In beating Memphis 130-109, Portland got off to a quick start building a 15-point first quarter lead. C.J. McCollum hit a long three-pointer with 5:10 to play in the opening period to put Portland up 21-13. The Blazers went on to score 38 first-quarter points. 

That is nothing new for Portland. The Trail Blazers lead the NBA in first-quarter points averaging 31.0 per game. Overall, the Blazers are one of the leagueís more prolific teams averaging 115.9 points a game, which is tied for fifth.

We crushed the bookie when we took the UNDER in our Raptors at Knicks free pick! You gotta go take a look.

Lord Damian

One of the reasons for Portlandís high-scoring offense is guard Damian Lillard who averages 28.2 points per game which puts him fourth in the NBA. McCollum adds 23.3 per game. 

With all that scoring, one would think the Over is a good play in Portland games. That thought is a pretty good one considering the Over is 33-29 in Blazers games this year. However, more recently the Under is 8-4 in Portlandís last 12 games.

Portland will be playing in Boston, which is 10th in scoring defense. The Celtics have been up and down winning eight of their last 12, but they had a streak of five straight wins only to follow later on with a streak of three straight losses.

In looking at totals in Boston games, their last three have gone Over. The three games before that went Under.

NBA Race to 20 Points

Neither team is all that great against the spread either. Portland is 31-31 ATS and Boston is 30-32-1 ATS. 

What are bettors to do? Well, go back to Portland and how they start fast. Remember, they average 31 points in the first quarter. 

Boston is actually one of the poorer first-quarter scoring teams in the league. The Celtics average 27.5 points in the opening period. That ranks 24th among all NBA teams. 

When Portland faces teams that rank in the bottom half of the league in first-quarter scoring, they tend to win the NBA Race to 20 Points. They won in their last two games against Memphis which ranks 18th in first-quarter scoring. 

With too much volatility in betting the spread or the total, take the Blazers to win the Race to 20 Points.

NBA Free Pick: TRAIL BLAZERS Race to 20 Points

Looking for another free pick? We have a NHL pick, go see our Lightning at Red Wings free pick, it might surprise you.





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